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| USING
THE SOLAR CALCULATOR
The Solar Calculator provides
two “measures of goodness” for the project:
the Third-Party Best Offer and the Simple Payback. In addition,
it gives you an estimate for the installed cost of a SHW
pool heating system.
The Third Party Best Offer is our estimate
of the price a 3rd party investor is likely to charge you,
the owner of the pool(s), for the heat supplied by the solar
system to the pool. The best offer price is computed by
setting the third-party’s after-tax internal rate
of return at 15% and then determining what the third party
must charge you for energy to realize that rate of return.
You can compare the Third-Party Best Offer ($/MBtu) to what
you are currently paying for the heat delivered to your
pool.
Simple Payback is
the length of time in years it will take for the energy
savings to pay for the solar investment. The Calculator
computes three simple payback numbers: a) payback for a
pool cover alone, b) payback for a solar collector alone,
and c) payback for a pool cover and a solar system combined.
Inputs to the Calculator
Fuel Cost: The costs of the fuel can be taken directly from
a recent utility bill. Find the total amount of fuel that
was delivered for that period and divide that into the total
amount that was paid for that fuel. For example, if 1,000
Therms was delivered at a cost of $900, then the unit cost
is $0.90/Therm ($900 divided by 1,000 Therms). The calculator
let’s you input your energy cost in one of three units:
$s per MBtu, $s per Therm, or $s per cubic foot.
Union
or non-union labor:
The use of union versus non-union labor can have a large
impact on the cost of installing a solar hot water (SHW)
system. Even if the solar system under consideration were
to be installed by a private sector entity, if the SHW
system is installed on government property, government
rules may require that the project be implemented with
contractors who pay union-scale wages. Hence the government
agency that is issuing the RFP must assess whether contractors
are going to be required to use union or non-union labor.
Cost of Pool Cover and SHW System:
In the Solar Calculator the assumed
cost of labor to be $19 per square foot of collector area
for union labor, and $11 per square foot, for non-union
labor. Note that a manual pool cover will not generally
require installation labor and as such its cost is not affected
by this user-input value. The pool cover was assumed to
be a simple vinyl cover. Based on a brief market survey,
the cost for the cover, including its take-up reel, was
estimated to be $2.00 per square foot of pool surface area.
The cover would have a manual take-up reel (or reels depending
on the pool size). If you equip the cover with a motorized
take-up reel, the total system cost will be in the several
times greater. The motorized option is still worth considering
if it means that the cover is more likely to be used regularly
by those responsible for the pool.
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Indoor
and outdoor pools:
We made the following assumptions in our performance calculations
for indoor and outdoor pools:
| |
Days
of Operation |
Hours
of Operation |
| Indoor
Pools |
7
days/week, all year |
9
AM to 9 PM |
| Outdoor
Pools (except for regions indicated below) |
7
days/week, May 20th to |
9
AM to 9 PM |
| |
September
5th |
|
| Outdoor
pools in map regions # 6, 7, 8, and 10 (these are warmer
climate regions) |
7
days a week, all year |
9
AM to 9 PM |
The Region:
This is self-explanatory; simply click on the map in the
region corresponding to the location of the swimming pool.
Note that if you change any of the input values (such as
energy cost), you will need to click once more on the region
in order to re-compute the pay-back values.
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Guidelines
for Interpreting the Calculator Results
Located at the bottom of the Calculator are the Simple Payback
numbers and a best offer energy price.
Third Party Offer (best price for pool owner)
This Under a third-party financed project,
Simple Payback
If
the payback is short, then it is likely that third-party
financers could make money on the project and would submit
a bid . If the payback is long, then it may not be worth
the trouble to issue an RFP and since the probability
that anybody will respond is low.
Generally speaking, here is some guidance for interpreting
the Simple Payback values computed by the Calculator:
--Short payback (less than 3 years):
Excellent economic prospects. The project is so good that
it is a candidate not only for 3rd party independent ownership
but also for internal capital funding. This project is
likely to attract numerous bidders who would be interested
in engaging in a independent power production contractual
arrangement or energy savings contract.
--Moderate payback (4-8 years): Good
economic prospects. The project would probably attract
third parties who would be interested in engaging in a
independent power production contractual arrangement or
energy savings contract.
--Long
payback (8-12 years): Fair to poor economic prospects.
The project would probably not attract a lot of bidders
for an independent power production or energy savings
contract. The third-party financing approach is questionable
because the economic value of the project may not yield
a sufficient profit to the installer/operator to warrant
the preparation of a proposal.
-Very
long payback (greater than 12 yrs): Poor economic
prospects. It is unlikely that an RFP would attract any
qualified bidders for independent power generation.
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